Thursday, 27 March 2014

Downfall of Modi


To understand Modi phenomenon, we must understand the global economic recession or say economic slowdown. Yes, India is a part of this event and more so after 1992 when the so called economic reform started.  1992 was part of neo liberalism, which advocated business without intervention of government, which in reality meant open corruption by the business class. Not that earlier, these exploiters were doing the business honestly but it was a means to break the national barriers of developing nations, where some governments and opposition made hue and cry on FDIs and MNCs and created hindrance to own businessmen letting open loot of national wealth!

Bureaucracy was another hindrance, which wanted share in loot. Workers, on the other hand, was desperate due extreme exploitation which resulted from unemployment, lowering of direct wages and indirectly due rising inflammation, bureaucratic coercion, humiliation, corruption and were rising world over against state and corporates’ tyranny.

This led to neo-liberalism, a well-planned move by Imperialists and ensured its extension through their puppet governments, corporates and opposition. Here starts story of Narendra Modi in India!

2008 started economic slowdown but unlike 2000 and earlier in 1992, boom did not follow according to the economic cycle since 200 years. GDP showed decline and Corporates lovers MMS and others were restless. BJP saw a chance to rise as an alternate to Congress but they did not have any alternate to Congress’ philosophy. Readers may remember Shatrughan Sinha and Arun Shourie’s statement who declared both the parties same and their economic and foreign policies are same! Religiosity and national chauvinism had been their pet slogan to attract masses. Something more was needed and that was personality cult and LK Advani had run out the charisma, who had ensured earlier BJP led central government. Modi fitted in this frame and BJP happily granted more than 400 Crore for his propaganda which also included, change of his face so that people do find this 2002 blood stained man bit presentable! So there comes Modi on national level with branded and foreign level goggles, watch, prepared lectures, yet with blunders which BJP tries to cover with hired goons and hired social media trolls who not only keep chanting NAMO but join together in abusing the critics with lowest level possible and physically assault (Slightly different than what Congressmen do when Rahul Gandhi talks rubbish)!

As far as Corporates and FDI agencies are concerned, they sensed pretty well that the Congress will not be able to form government this time and as far as 3rd front is concerned, may not be good news for their drooping profit(Call if GDP?). Left was no threat to their hegemony or control over the Indian government but AAP came forth with such a force that it posed great danger to their unchallenged rule. AAP party not only exposed Vadra, Gadkari but also Ambani!! This was unacceptable, and Modi was selected by them to replace Congress and keep AAP at bay. Help of RSS, their owned media, few foreign media and businessmen was sought and the personality cult was boosted and what comes out is Modi, who has aura of 2002 riots, so called Gujarat Model of development(Which has been exposed beyond any repair) and ability to yap(This again has landed him in utter disgrace on many occasions).

Whatever, this is Modi!! But what now? Arvind Kejriwal has declared to fight against Modi from Varanasi and Modi was so scared, that he did send his intelligence to access the danger level. Vadodara, so far has no real threat to Modi but surely, people of Gujarat are rallying with AAP and that includes common man, peasants, workers, youth and students! Whether AAP succeeds in taking the revolution forward, which started more than 2 years back to fight for JLPB in Ram Lila Maidan, but has surely shocked the classical politics of India, which permitted the existing parties to rule India peacefully and not only exploit people but also loot them directly!

Modi’s charishma is exposed and his advisers are desperately trying to get his influence back but lacks shine. Paid crowd, paid media, paid goons, collection of corrupt and criminal politicians from other parties, rhetoric, national chauvinism, religiosity, very filthy abuses by supporters on social media and in society will fail if fascism is unnatural to Indian society and democratic, secular, socialist, sovereign India as elucidated in preamble of Indian constitution has to survive!

Monday, 17 March 2014

Anna Supports Mamta! End of Anna?


धर्मनिरपेक्ष भारत के लिए बेहतर प्रधानमंत्री होंगी ममता: बुखारी 24 Feb, 2014!

Anna opposes joining politics, as to him its root cause of corruption and hence decided to be away from it on all cost. Fine, same logic applied to AK for having formed a political party and Anna maintains a distance. But Mamta is different as she agreed to his points and wears Chappals, but can her past be forgotten, where she allied to UPA and NDA to remain in power, and that is her sole aim, to remain in power! Is this not her sheer opportunism?

Yet, Anna declares his support for Mamta, that too for PM!! And on close heals, Shahi Imam too declares her as great secular person and candidate for PM! Any political analyst will discard the idea of Mamta becoming PM of India as her party TMC’s presence is negligible out of Bengal!

Reason is apparently different. Many other aspects of Mamta's administration exposed her fickle mindedness, dictatorship and her aversion to a good governance. Now undiluted JLPB is no more a bone of contention for any political party as Jokepal is accepted by Anna and the corrupt parties as well, including Lalu, Modi, so Mamta is happy allying with Anna, maybe she manages to become a national leader and her party may again share government at centre!

Anna has harmed AAP in past wittingly or unwittingly, as he did in Delhi VS election that too just in nick of time to harm AAP maximum and it did harm!

After resignation of AK and AAP government in Delhi, people, specially youths and students have been allying with this party en mass not only for a corruption free India but also to teach anti-people Congress and BJP!

This has been visible, not only in metropolitan cities but in rural areas as well. Swelling of its membership in UP, Bihar, NE India, South, Gujarat has been a great worry for BJP and its strategist including RSS. Incidentally, RSS claims to be behind the success of Anna's movement for JLPB!

So, the hunt for an alternate was going on for some time and TMC popped up as a common choice. Bengal was not a green pasture for BJP and Modi's rally was a big flop in Kolkata. That was a joker in the pack, which could be used anywhere and was readily acceptable to BJP strategists to counter AAP, as Mamta will willingly ally with BJP (or even Congress) to from a government in centre. BJP butchered Gujarat Lokayukta and which along with Congress helps crony capitalism to usurp greater profit on cost of common man, peasants and workers! I do not have to guess the role of Kiran Bedi, VK Singh, etc!

Bukhari's support to Mamta came as surprise but we can guess, its strategy to counter AAP and sure enough, he is going to support Congress in other parts of India! Its business and power politics!

Well, whatever, the strategy may be of the anti-AAP think tanks, it failed on 12March, 2014 in Ramlila Maidan, when Anna failed to arrive there though Mamta did arrive, late, and declared that this was not her party’s gathering but that of Anna to the crowd which was not even in 4 figures. Anna’s aid said he was not well to attend the meeting but later Anna himself said that there was no crowd and even later he clarified that he was cheated!!!!!!!!!!

I had been a fan of Anna and one of the faceless agitator in Ramlila maidan and other parts of Delhi, but now I feel for the greater cause of India and its common citizens, we must distance from him, his vision and his tactics and sadly from his leadership. His role with our revolution is over and though there is no need to confront him as he is still revered among mass and youths but our path must be independent of him! AAP must distance from him in the greater interest of revolution for common man, as a single mistake will harm the cause irreparably and we have seen that in past! Worse, he is blunting mass revolution and fine distinction between AAP and others!

I am sure, AAP top and young leaders are aware of this very crucial matter, must be contemplating ways to counter this “menace” but only advise to them is, do not delay in this matter, becoming ostrich will only harm AAP and a difficult and rare opportunity to bring Swaraj!

Friday, 7 March 2014

Kejriwal in Gujarat, Modi's Blunder!


On 05 March, 2014 AK entered Gujarat as planned and as planned covertly by Modi and “his” administration, he was detained by police and taken to police station but as would have been, they back tracked and released him. Initially, they claimed that AK and his team were breaking the code of conduct laid by the election commission, which was in vogue since 1200 hrs. But again, the police said they did not detain him but only took him for his security. In between, they also claimed that he was taken to police station to save him or people from the traffic congestion! This was first blunder of Modi and his strategists!

Immediately, Delhi AAP called protest at BJP’s office and seeing a massive turn out, BJP leaders along with their goons attacked AAP volunteers with stones, chairs etc, and got some in retaliation! Second blunder!

After effects were also seen in Lucknow, Allahabad, Patna etc but what is important is its political fallout!

BJP leaders in their hurry to show their militancy and support to Modi, attacked AAP and called it Maoists, Naxals, anarchists and a party which never believes in Constitution! This is the 3rd blunder of Modi and his planners!

Few quotes here is necessary to see how much do BJP believes in democracy and democratic institution!

Golwalkar in 1940 addressing RSS cadres said- RSS inspired by one flag, one leader and one ideology is lighting the flame of Hindutva in each and every corner of this land. (Collected works of Golwalkar, Vol 1, p 11, Bhartiya Vichar Sadhana, ND). Incidentally “one flag, one leader and one ideology” was battle cry of Nazis and Fascists in first half of 20th century!

So, the RSS, Jan Sangh and later BJP, which was formed after destroying 1974-77 revolution, has roots in not democracy but in dictatorship and fascism.

BJP came to power by destroying Babar Masjid and later riding over polarisation of 2002 riots. Now this party, incensed by Arvind Kejriwal’s visit to Gujarat and the fear of being exposed; Modi’s lies on so called development.

Where did Modi and his administration go wrong? In haste to disrupt AK’s road show, they detained him but did not realise, it may backfire and that too not only in Gujarat but in the entire country. Countering AAP further, it not only attacked them in Delhi, but in Lucknow, Allahabad, Patna etc in hope of intimidating the volunteers of a revolutionary party but failed. In turn, AAP workers are infuriated and this anger will be channelized into changing the system, rather blow it out in countering vandalism!

Here, I will like to analyse, the lull period of AAP, which started after resignation of the Delhi government till recently, when party was undergoing process of selection of candidates, strengthening the party structure and formulating its strategy. The top leadership was busy in these activities and media management, the lower and middle class workers felt neglected. I would prefer to say, they were action less and idle. We must remember, revolution does not wait for someone or some party to be led, it goes into oblivion, if not used.

Another very important reason for this lull moment in AAP volunteers was “lateral entry” of few, who not only hogged lime lights on media etc but also were given preference as candidates and party leadership, and the grass root workers were ignored. I am aware, this will be refuted by top leaders but if one mingles AAP members at lower level offices like Nazafgarh, Palam, South Delhi, etc and even out of Delhi, this feeling was evident.

This incidence of Gujarat, galvanised the original volunteers of AAP along with new ones and that can be seen not only in Delhi but elsewhere. This is where Modi and his strategist failed and helped wave of AAP to rise once again!!

 

What next? There is hardly time for the election to start and formulate any new strategy! Aap ki Kranti seems to be main journal of AAP and is widely published but seems its circulation has dwindled. It’s not even supplemented by pamphlets, which was most needed to keep AAP supporters united, though they have many online web pages. Journals, legal or illegal, had been back bone of any revolution. Yes, electronic social media has replaced it somehow, but yet not only in rural but in urban India, people do read these papers and attach big value to them. Still, in evening, one can see on road side tea stalls, small gathering with few pages of newspaper and discussing with great interest. These people follow the revolution and ensure its victory.

Greater transparency, guidance, reach to remote areas, nookad sabhas, door to door campaign had been strength of AAP and must be pursued with vigour. Legal knowledge of election process, restrictions etc, surprising is better known to the AAP cadres compared to those of Congress and BJP as latter members do not hesitate in breaking the code of conduct regularly but everyone is ready with magnifying glass to raise finger on emerging AAP!

I was not to make here, lessons for AAP but just to enumerate few points which I found in continuation with 1974-77 rise and yet different due rise of social media and other aspects of changing time!

Modi’s rise has hit its worst speed breaker and BJP is fuming on AAP for destroying its dream to capture central power and replace Congress as corporate’s favourite, be it Indian or MNCs! Crucial time for Corporates, which though till now, have failed to realise that AAP is not against capitalism but its side effects, like inflation, unemployment, corruption. This last point is raised by the Leftist and claim that AAP is only to purify Capitalism, but when it’s their turn, they join Congress in name of keeping BJP out of power and even 3rd front which is nothing but amalgam of equally opportunists and corrupts to share power and loot! Left has lost their revolutionary ethos and are busy trying to remain relevant.

Arvind Kejriwal entry into Gujarat is another master stroke, which has unnerved Narendra Modi and his planners, and only time will tell, that too very shortly, if they can recover the acceleration, which they had managed on lies, rhetoric and personality cult and are on downhill!